Kommentare

Kommentar von Thottbot

Be prepared for a long camp.. Took about 3 days camping about 4 hours each time to get these legs.

Kommentar von Thottbot

Likely 2000 to 2500 kills between drops on these pants. Glad they sell for a decent price, happened to pick up a few pairs while camping the pet.

Kommentar von Thottbot

2000-2500 is a .02 chance not .2 and ill prove is with the following equation

ok if 100% chance is all the time a 20 % chance would be around 1 every 2 to maybe 8 kills a 2% would be 1 every 20 to maybe 80 kills so a .2 must be?...1 every 200 to 800 kills how do i figure this? first u start with 100% then since ur tryin to figure out a .5% u start with 20 .5 is an easy 1 cuz its easy to divide into 100 so 20 into 100 is 5 right thus making it 5 time drop then u consider if there is a thing called luck which means if u have bad luck it may take 3 or 2 more kills to drop or good luck it may take 2 or 3 less
so if 20% is 5 then take away 1 zero from the 20 and add it to the 5 to make a 5% chance making it a 50 time drop (without luck of course) then u cant take any more zeros and put any more on the 50 so what to do? make the number a decimal and add another zero thus giving the answer to your question " how often will it drop?" after subtracting or adding how good your luck is today(if u beleive in luck)your answer will be roughly around 200-800 and that will give you a good estimate on how long it'll take u to get the item.

again this is just my theory i think this is a good way to find your estimate cause it has never failed me in getting a good estimate.

Kommentar von Thottbot

I didn't follow his logic, but he gets the right ballpark :)... maybe it's a whole new branch of maths :D

Anyway, at the time of writing, Thott says 390 of these dropped (202+188) from 81,213 (41,010+40203) kills of the critter that drop them.

So that's a 0.4802% chance of a drop per kill (Thott rounds it to 0.5%)

The trick to probability questions like this is to ask the question the other way round: what is the chance of it not dropping? (coz once it drops you stop looking) .. which is 0.995198%

then chance of failure = 0.995198 ^ (number of attempts)

(^ is 'to the power of)
.. so using a handy excel or whatever .. to get a 50/50 chance of a drop you have to kill 145.

75% = 288 kills
85% = 394 kills
95% = 622 kills

of course, you can be killer unlucky and it could never ever drop for you, or it could drop 1st kill.

but 95% of people will get it after 622 kills :)

Happy slaying

Kommentar von Thottbot

THERE THAT RARE? I found these pants after 5 kills and i was just training! I was comeing here and thought i would check out the wierd pants i found and now i know that its a .2% drop rate! Holy crap.

Kommentar von Thottbot

Uhh I dont think they're that rare really... I was just out here killing some of these, got two of these pants drop in a row...

Kommentar von Thottbot

I was slaughtering the whelps the other day in an attempt to get a whelping. After 8 hours of grinding, and many dead whelps later, I had 3 pairs of these pants, but no whelping >_< Conclusion...next time I go in looking for the pants and I should get the whelping right? (^_^)

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Glimmende Hose

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35 Rüstung
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